Quebec employers, in partnership with the Order of Certified Human Resources Professionals, have announced a projection that average salaries across the province will increase by 3.1 percent in 2027. The forecast was released as part of the organizations' annual outlook on compensation trends and places the upcoming year as the fourth consecutive period of moderated wage growth.
The 3.1 percent figure follows three years in which employers delivered larger pay hikes to offset the impact of high inflation on household purchasing power. Those earlier increases were intended to keep real earnings stable as consumer prices surged. By contrast, the current projection suggests a more restrained approach to salary adjustments.
Industry observers note that the shift to a modest rise reflects a broader cooling of inflationary pressures in Quebec. With price growth easing, employers appear less compelled to grant substantial raises and are instead adopting incremental adjustments that align with more stable economic conditions.
The projected average increase applies to the province as a whole, encompassing both private‑sector firms and public‑sector entities that participate in the collective compensation planning process. While the exact distribution of the 3.1 percent rise may vary among individual companies and occupational groups, the aggregate figure serves as a benchmark for wage expectations in the coming year.
Overall, the outlook signals a slowdown in wage growth after a period of pronounced salary hikes driven by inflation. Employers and human‑resources professionals intend to use the modest projection to guide budgeting and compensation strategies for 2027, anticipating a more measured labor‑market environment.
The projection will be revisited each year as employers assess economic trends and labor‑market dynamics.