The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released its U.S. Winter Outlook on October 15, 2026, projecting above‑average temperatures and a storm track that will stay farther south for the coming winter season in New England.

The outlook notes that the ongoing El Niño event is expected to raise sea‑surface temperatures and shift the jet stream, which will shape both precipitation and temperature patterns across the region.

This forecast is part of NOAA’s annual seasonal outlook that provides temperature and precipitation guidance for the United States, with this edition offering specific expectations for New England.