A poll released on August 7, 2026, shows incumbent mayor John Chow maintaining a lead in the Toronto mayoral contest, while former diplomat Chris Alexander has climbed to as much as 10 per cent support among surveyed voters. The survey, conducted across the city of Toronto, Ontario, reflects the latest snapshot of voter sentiment as the campaign enters its final weeks.

The race features a broad field of candidates, each seeking to appeal to a diverse electorate that includes long‑time residents, recent immigrants, and younger voters drawn to issues such as public transit, housing affordability and municipal finances. The new data suggests that some voters who previously favored other contenders are moving toward Alexander, contributing to his rise to the double‑digit level noted in the poll. At the same time, Chow’s continued advantage indicates that a sizable portion of the electorate remains satisfied with his record in office.

Analysts note that the shift toward Alexander could reshape the dynamics of the final campaign, prompting all contenders to adjust messaging and outreach strategies as they vie for the undecided voters who remain pivotal in a close contest. While Chow’s lead suggests he is still the frontrunner, the emergence of a ten‑percent showing for Alexander underscores the fluid nature of voter preferences in a race where several candidates are still within striking distance. The coming weeks are expected to see intensified debates, door‑to‑door canvassing and increased media attention as Toronto’s electorate prepares to cast ballots in the upcoming municipal election.

City officials have not commented on the poll, and election officials remind voters that final results will depend on actual turnout on election day.